Line Change!
Ok so we are a little late to the party on Fred Thompson. Color us a little bit skeptical about his candidacy. That being said, numbers don’t lie, and the most recent ARG poll shows America’s TV Prosecutor running 3rd in Iowa.
So Thompson jumps onto the Cooler line in the 6th slot at 25-1. Like Newt his odds are reduced by a) the likelihood that he won’t run and b) the fact that even if he does run, he has no Iowa organization to speak of.. That being said he has the name ID, he has a record that could be argued is more conservative than any of those above him on the Cooler line (not definitively). If for no other reason than to spice things up over the next few months, count the Cooler among those who hope Fred dips his toe in the water and does some campaigning in the Hawkeye.
In other line change news, Mike Huckabee dips from 16-1 to 24-1 because of rumblings that he might not be in this race for the long haul. Huckabee visited Western Iowa recently to very little fanfare and he has made no noise in the endorsement/staffing areas since he added Bob Vander Plaats and Danny Carroll over a month ago. Combine that with the rumors circling that he’ll be running for Senate in Arkansas instead and his strength seems to be diminishing in Iowa. If he doesn’t start to pick up momentum soon, he’ll be surpassed by the hard working Tommy Thompson.
On the agenda for the rest of the week: RUDY makes his inaugural visit in Iowa- the Cooler correspondent will be back for that, Tommy announces his bid formally in Des Moines, Mitt has a grand opening, and we’re two weeks away from the Abraham Lincoln Spring Showdown…
posted by Caucus Cooler at 4/01/2007
37 Comments:
Don't let this bogus line get to you. I think we all know that Frank Stallone is leading in every single poll. I would put his odds at winning the Presidential election at 2-5.
Noone can compete with Frank Stallone, and certainly noone can match his dance moves, singing and 80's haircuts.
Keating, Table for 5 said...
The folks who run the cooler (and we know who you are) have all lost serious street cred in Iowa politics with their support/employment of the McCain campaign.
That guy will say or do anything (AND HAS) to get ahead. And you folks at the cooler work for him. It will take you years to get back any credibility.
Interestingly, everyday the Cooler trashes Rudy and Mitt and yet they still play the expectations game for McCain by placing Mitt in 1st and Rudy a close third.
Hmmmmmm.....
Mitt Romney just posted a $23 million number, ALL primary money.
Incredibly impressive show of support and organization.
Great job Team Romney.
Correction 20 million primary money with a large loan from himself.
Romney lies again!
The Order So far as we can tell...
1. Romney
2. Clinton or Obama
3. Obama or Clinton.
+++++++++++++++
GAP
++++++++++++++++
4,5,6: Giuliani, McCain and Edwards
++++++++++++++++
GAP
++++++++++++++++
Richardson
++++++++++++++++
GAP
++++++++++++++++
Dodd, Biden
McCain's in first place on the line. If they are trying to lower expectations they are equally as incompetent at that as they are at fundraising...
I find it hilarious that there is not even any talk of Tommy, Huck, or Brownback.
They should just pack it in. The only guy left who can get into this thing is Fred Thompson, and he's got to look at today's totals and cringe.
Cringe or not I am sure that Romney would gladly trade his impressive fundraising numbers for a consistent streak of double digit poll numbers...
Frank Stallone is a GOD!
Come on Cooler. Today is the beginning of the end for McCain via Mitt Romney breaking all presidential fundraising records. Not a good day for the McCain camp at all. Typically the Cooler posts some Youtube crap or a nasty hit piece on Mitt or Rudy when McCain is having a bad day.
So where is it? Too busy dealing with the media inquiries on McCain's $ numbers that you are still hiding?
Free advice, you should have just released the piss-poor numbers today instead of waiting to own the news cycle as the guy who is tanking later this week after Mitt owned the current news cycle as a rock star.
Amateurs....
http://www.cnn.com/2007/POLITICS/04/02/clinton.money.ap/index.html
LINE CHANGE!
BREAKING: McCain Raises Only $12.5M...
April 02, 2007
McCain's Statement: Disappointment..
From a release:
During the first quarter of 2007, John McCain 2008 campaign received nearly 60,000 contributions from all 50 states, averaging $200 per contribution. The McCain campaign will report over $12.5 million in contributions for the first quarter.
Campaign Manager Terry Nelson said, “Although we are pleased with the organization we’ve built and polls show us strongly positioned in key primary states, we had hoped to do better in first quarter fundraising. We are already in the process of taking the necessary steps to ensure fundraising success moving forward.”
Maybe all those consultants are are like having too many chefs in the kitchen spoiling the stew?
The Hotline today is equating McCain's lack-luster fundraising to an "Enema".
If that doesn't mean we need a line change, then I'm not sure what does.
Off subject real quick, but I have a question that I hope someone can answer. I see where Keith Hunter just joined the Romney Campaign, but he is still listed on Cox's website as a field representative. Is Keith with Romney or Cox?
I thought Heine was with Cox too, but I see him at Brownback events.
Nope, Heine is certainly with Brownback.
As bad as this day obviously is for McCain having raised about half of what Mitt Romney did, it must be especially bad for the candidates that didn't even make the news today. What did Brownback, Huckabee, T. Thompson, Cox, Tancredo, Hunter, Gilmore and Dr. Mark Klein raise? And does anyone know what Glen Stine raised this quarter?
I would'nt say the McCain campaign is dead, but I would'nt wait till the last minute to fill out those organ donor cards.
Is it true that Fox News is reporting that McCain has cancelled his campaign schedule for rest of the week and will hold major press conference at his home tomorrow morning? I heard some of the Iowa staff were let go after an internal campaign conference call this afternoon. . . Is he getting out of the race? Can anybody confirm?
Could be. Although that may be hard to do from Iraq. I'll be happy to be his spokesperson considering we go way back.
McCain 2008!
National name ID: $40 Million
Running for president since 1999: $55 Million
Being a MSM darling: $100 Million
Only being able to raise $12.5 Million in 2008: PRICELESS
Yawn.
I thinking its the "Yawning" that may be why the McCain campaign's finance team is struggling.
Romney excels, McCain lags in fundraising
"Republican Mitt Romney reported Monday he had raised $23 million for his presidential campaign during the first three months of the year, shaking up the GOP field. Sen. John McCain of Arizona lagged with $12.5 million raised."
Monday, April 02, 2007
The list
WASHINGTON (CNN) -- Below is a list of money raised by the candidates, according to figures provided by their campaigns:
Democrats
Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton, D-New York, $26 Million
Former Sen. John Edwards, D-North Carolina, $14 Million
New Mexico Gov. Bill Richardson, $6 Million
Sen. Chris Dodd of Connecticut, $4 Million
Sen. Joe Biden of Delaware, $1-2 million
Republicans
Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, $21 million
Former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani, $15 million
Arizona Sen. John McCain, $12.5 million
Kansas Sen. Sam Brownback, $1.3 million
Former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee, $500,000
Note: Sen. Barack Obama, D-Illinois, has yet to release his fundraising totals.
I can't wait to see the Cooler's spin on the fundraising FUBAR. Damn, its like being a kid waiting for Christmas morning.
Maybe they should have hired Nicole?
Damn! McCain's fundraising sucks. In honor of his "virtual fence" idea for our border, I wrote him a very large virtual check, which he can cash at any virtual bank in the country.
Hey Peter, how did Huckabee do on his Q1 fundraising?
Let me guess... Enough to be competitive?
Speaking of Nicole - she's great at what she does. You have to give credit to Romney's money team. I was glad to see that at least one candidate has about what Hillary has. Kind of kept us competitive in general between R and D. Makes me hopeful that they won't get the win very easy. Took some wind out of her news. God job team Romney.
It made me wonder if we can cull out the Iowa money raised. Does anyone know the Iowa based totals for each campaign?
Does Nicole have some local bragging rights?
Newt's been raising money too. Under what mechanism does he report his money and how much does he have that he could use for a run? How does he compare to the others?
Fred Thompson seems to be taking some thunder from McCain and Guiliani in the latest Iowa poll I saw. Romney was unaffected. Nothing seems to affect his campaign one way or the other. I'm looking forward to seeing what the big fundraising news does to his numbers.
Interesting stuff.
I can't imagine Keith Hunter tarnishing his name with Romney. Earl was bad enough, Keith would make the ICA look bad if he to went to Romney.
Where's Ron Paul?
"Keith would make the ICA look bad if he to went to Romney."
The ICA is already a joke.
"I can't imagine Keith Hunter tarnishing his name with Romney. Earl was bad enough, Keith would make the ICA look bad if he to went to Romney."
So what you are saying is Mitt Romney is so wicked that people from ICA not only hurt themselves but the organization of which they are members are "tarnished" by association therewith?
Think about how bad that sounds and how unlikely it makes people like Keith and Joe to support the ultimate nominee?
Then, think long term before you reduce things to writing.
The "ultimate nominee?" Are you F-ing serious? It doesn't matter if he raised $23 billion; HE CAN'T WIN!
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