Sunday, April 01, 2007

Line Change!


Ok so we are a little late to the party on Fred Thompson. Color us a little bit skeptical about his candidacy. That being said, numbers don’t lie, and the most recent ARG poll shows America’s TV Prosecutor running 3rd in Iowa.

So Thompson jumps onto the Cooler line in the 6th slot at 25-1. Like Newt his odds are reduced by a) the likelihood that he won’t run and b) the fact that even if he does run, he has no Iowa organization to speak of.. That being said he has the name ID, he has a record that could be argued is more conservative than any of those above him on the Cooler line (not definitively). If for no other reason than to spice things up over the next few months, count the Cooler among those who hope Fred dips his toe in the water and does some campaigning in the Hawkeye.

In other line change news, Mike Huckabee dips from 16-1 to 24-1 because of rumblings that he might not be in this race for the long haul. Huckabee visited Western Iowa recently to very little fanfare and he has made no noise in the endorsement/staffing areas since he added Bob Vander Plaats and Danny Carroll over a month ago. Combine that with the rumors circling that he’ll be running for Senate in Arkansas instead and his strength seems to be diminishing in Iowa. If he doesn’t start to pick up momentum soon, he’ll be surpassed by the hard working Tommy Thompson.

On the agenda for the rest of the week: RUDY makes his inaugural visit in Iowa- the Cooler correspondent will be back for that, Tommy announces his bid formally in Des Moines, Mitt has a grand opening, and we’re two weeks away from the Abraham Lincoln Spring Showdown…

37 Comments:

Anonymous Frank Stallone said...

Don't let this bogus line get to you. I think we all know that Frank Stallone is leading in every single poll. I would put his odds at winning the Presidential election at 2-5.

Noone can compete with Frank Stallone, and certainly noone can match his dance moves, singing and 80's haircuts.

9:14 AM  
Anonymous Keating, Table for 5 said...

Keating, Table for 5 said...
The folks who run the cooler (and we know who you are) have all lost serious street cred in Iowa politics with their support/employment of the McCain campaign.

That guy will say or do anything (AND HAS) to get ahead. And you folks at the cooler work for him. It will take you years to get back any credibility.

Interestingly, everyday the Cooler trashes Rudy and Mitt and yet they still play the expectations game for McCain by placing Mitt in 1st and Rudy a close third.


Hmmmmmm.....

9:48 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Mitt Romney just posted a $23 million number, ALL primary money.

Incredibly impressive show of support and organization.

Great job Team Romney.

10:10 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Correction 20 million primary money with a large loan from himself.
Romney lies again!

10:16 AM  
Anonymous Hotline shows Romney $ prowess, McCain implosion said...

The Order So far as we can tell...
1. Romney
2. Clinton or Obama
3. Obama or Clinton.
+++++++++++++++
GAP
++++++++++++++++
4,5,6: Giuliani, McCain and Edwards
++++++++++++++++
GAP
++++++++++++++++
Richardson
++++++++++++++++
GAP
++++++++++++++++
Dodd, Biden

10:44 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

McCain's in first place on the line. If they are trying to lower expectations they are equally as incompetent at that as they are at fundraising...

10:52 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

I find it hilarious that there is not even any talk of Tommy, Huck, or Brownback.

They should just pack it in. The only guy left who can get into this thing is Fred Thompson, and he's got to look at today's totals and cringe.

11:26 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Cringe or not I am sure that Romney would gladly trade his impressive fundraising numbers for a consistent streak of double digit poll numbers...

11:42 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Frank Stallone is a GOD!

12:05 PM  
Anonymous Keating, Table for 5 said...

Come on Cooler. Today is the beginning of the end for McCain via Mitt Romney breaking all presidential fundraising records. Not a good day for the McCain camp at all. Typically the Cooler posts some Youtube crap or a nasty hit piece on Mitt or Rudy when McCain is having a bad day.

So where is it? Too busy dealing with the media inquiries on McCain's $ numbers that you are still hiding?

Free advice, you should have just released the piss-poor numbers today instead of waiting to own the news cycle as the guy who is tanking later this week after Mitt owned the current news cycle as a rock star.

Amateurs....

1:17 PM  
Anonymous McAmnesty, Table for 12 Million said...

http://www.cnn.com/2007/POLITICS/04/02/clinton.money.ap/index.html

LINE CHANGE!

1:21 PM  
Anonymous Need a tissue? said...

BREAKING: McCain Raises Only $12.5M...

April 02, 2007
McCain's Statement: Disappointment..
From a release:

During the first quarter of 2007, John McCain 2008 campaign received nearly 60,000 contributions from all 50 states, averaging $200 per contribution. The McCain campaign will report over $12.5 million in contributions for the first quarter.
Campaign Manager Terry Nelson said, “Although we are pleased with the organization we’ve built and polls show us strongly positioned in key primary states, we had hoped to do better in first quarter fundraising. We are already in the process of taking the necessary steps to ensure fundraising success moving forward.”

1:37 PM  
Anonymous HIRING FREEZE! said...

Maybe all those consultants are are like having too many chefs in the kitchen spoiling the stew?

1:44 PM  
Anonymous Enema said...

The Hotline today is equating McCain's lack-luster fundraising to an "Enema".

If that doesn't mean we need a line change, then I'm not sure what does.

1:54 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Off subject real quick, but I have a question that I hope someone can answer. I see where Keith Hunter just joined the Romney Campaign, but he is still listed on Cox's website as a field representative. Is Keith with Romney or Cox?

2:29 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

I thought Heine was with Cox too, but I see him at Brownback events.

2:36 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Nope, Heine is certainly with Brownback.

2:41 PM  
Anonymous Lets not repeat 1996 said...

As bad as this day obviously is for McCain having raised about half of what Mitt Romney did, it must be especially bad for the candidates that didn't even make the news today. What did Brownback, Huckabee, T. Thompson, Cox, Tancredo, Hunter, Gilmore and Dr. Mark Klein raise? And does anyone know what Glen Stine raised this quarter?

2:41 PM  
Anonymous Taps said...

I would'nt say the McCain campaign is dead, but I would'nt wait till the last minute to fill out those organ donor cards.

2:51 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Is it true that Fox News is reporting that McCain has cancelled his campaign schedule for rest of the week and will hold major press conference at his home tomorrow morning? I heard some of the Iowa staff were let go after an internal campaign conference call this afternoon. . . Is he getting out of the race? Can anybody confirm?

2:54 PM  
Anonymous Charles Keating said...

Could be. Although that may be hard to do from Iraq. I'll be happy to be his spokesperson considering we go way back.

McCain 2008!

3:02 PM  
Anonymous McMaster Card said...

National name ID: $40 Million

Running for president since 1999: $55 Million

Being a MSM darling: $100 Million

Only being able to raise $12.5 Million in 2008: PRICELESS

3:14 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Yawn.

3:57 PM  
Anonymous Revive with Vivarin said...

I thinking its the "Yawning" that may be why the McCain campaign's finance team is struggling.

4:26 PM  
Anonymous CNN.com/politics said...

Romney excels, McCain lags in fundraising

"Republican Mitt Romney reported Monday he had raised $23 million for his presidential campaign during the first three months of the year, shaking up the GOP field. Sen. John McCain of Arizona lagged with $12.5 million raised."

4:31 PM  
Anonymous Wolf Blitzer said...

Monday, April 02, 2007
The list

WASHINGTON (CNN) -- Below is a list of money raised by the candidates, according to figures provided by their campaigns:

Democrats


Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton, D-New York, $26 Million

Former Sen. John Edwards, D-North Carolina, $14 Million

New Mexico Gov. Bill Richardson, $6 Million

Sen. Chris Dodd of Connecticut, $4 Million

Sen. Joe Biden of Delaware, $1-2 million



Republicans


Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, $21 million

Former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani, $15 million

Arizona Sen. John McCain, $12.5 million

Kansas Sen. Sam Brownback, $1.3 million

Former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee, $500,000

Note: Sen. Barack Obama, D-Illinois, has yet to release his fundraising totals.

4:36 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

I can't wait to see the Cooler's spin on the fundraising FUBAR. Damn, its like being a kid waiting for Christmas morning.

Maybe they should have hired Nicole?

4:42 PM  
Anonymous Juan mckennedy said...

Damn! McCain's fundraising sucks. In honor of his "virtual fence" idea for our border, I wrote him a very large virtual check, which he can cash at any virtual bank in the country.

6:10 PM  
Anonymous Huckabee for Senate said...

Hey Peter, how did Huckabee do on his Q1 fundraising?

Let me guess... Enough to be competitive?

6:12 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Speaking of Nicole - she's great at what she does. You have to give credit to Romney's money team. I was glad to see that at least one candidate has about what Hillary has. Kind of kept us competitive in general between R and D. Makes me hopeful that they won't get the win very easy. Took some wind out of her news. God job team Romney.

It made me wonder if we can cull out the Iowa money raised. Does anyone know the Iowa based totals for each campaign?

Does Nicole have some local bragging rights?

7:07 PM  
Anonymous NEWT! Newt! Newt! said...

Newt's been raising money too. Under what mechanism does he report his money and how much does he have that he could use for a run? How does he compare to the others?

7:11 PM  
Anonymous The only news that could be better is if obama outdid hillary said...

Fred Thompson seems to be taking some thunder from McCain and Guiliani in the latest Iowa poll I saw. Romney was unaffected. Nothing seems to affect his campaign one way or the other. I'm looking forward to seeing what the big fundraising news does to his numbers.

Interesting stuff.

7:14 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

I can't imagine Keith Hunter tarnishing his name with Romney. Earl was bad enough, Keith would make the ICA look bad if he to went to Romney.

7:59 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Where's Ron Paul?

11:13 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

"Keith would make the ICA look bad if he to went to Romney."

The ICA is already a joke.

7:14 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

"I can't imagine Keith Hunter tarnishing his name with Romney. Earl was bad enough, Keith would make the ICA look bad if he to went to Romney."

So what you are saying is Mitt Romney is so wicked that people from ICA not only hurt themselves but the organization of which they are members are "tarnished" by association therewith?

Think about how bad that sounds and how unlikely it makes people like Keith and Joe to support the ultimate nominee?

Then, think long term before you reduce things to writing.

12:18 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

The "ultimate nominee?" Are you F-ing serious? It doesn't matter if he raised $23 billion; HE CAN'T WIN!

11:56 PM  

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  • The Cooler Line

    Mike Huckabee 10-9
    Mitt Romney 3-1
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    John McCain 9-1
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    Ron Paul 12-1
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    The Cooler line is an exclusive creation of Caucus Cooler and will be updated as the political environment changes.
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