Friday, February 06, 2009
Thursday, January 03, 2008
Our predictions are below, make yours in the comments section. The winner will receive the admiration of the Cooler staff.
Michael Dale Huckabee 31%
Willard Mitt Romney 28%
Fred Dalton Thompson 12%
John Sidney McCain 11%
Ronald Ernest Paul 9%
Rudolph William Louis Giuliani 7%
Duncan Lee Hunter 2%
Barack Hussein Obama 29%
Johnny Reid Edwards 27%
Hillary Rodham Clinton 26%
Joseph Robinette Biden 9%
William Blaine Richardson 6%
Christopher John Dodd 2%
Dennis John Kucinich 1%
If you hear any rumblings that might be blog worthy, drop us a note at email@example.com
More than likely we will be live-blogging the results and speeches starting sometime this evening. There's an even greater likelihood that if it happens it will be the Cooler's swansong, so don't miss it.
Anti Romney Dirty Tricks in IA
And for bonus points, check out the Cooler's favorite son, Jon Seaton expertly lowering expectations. Atta boy JS.
McCain is shaping up shockingly well at this stage in the game.
80,000 is the magic number
Richardson to send 2nd Choicers to Obama
I've put a spell on you
Chuck Norris likes to talk about how many people Awshucksabee has killed.
For the best blogospheric coverage in Iowa outside of the Cooler, read O.K.
Will be back with more rumors and innuendo from the streets of Des Moines soon enough.
Report Live from Your Precinct Caucus
Wednesday, January 02, 2008
Final Line Change
Doug Gross on Turnout
Glover with a must-must-must reader on which counties to watch tomorrow.
A Wakonda Sized Slam
"What I have to do is make sure that my anger with a guy like Romney, whose teeth I want to knock out, doesn't get in the way of my thought process."
Do yourself a favor and read the whole story..
Odds & Ends
As for 'Raucus' we got some funny reviews from y'all (Sounds like you were having a good time Kevin Cooney) and we'll incorporate them as we have time.
The Register poll is out, Obama and Huckabee are the favorites. But both races are tighter than a nuns... (nevermind this is a family blog).. McCain is rising and Thompson is falling in tier two. Ron Paul is doubling Giuliani.
Huckabee's bizarre"I've decided to not attack Mitt Romney on air in Iowa because I am such a great Christian man, but WAIT I am going to show the ad to the entire national press corps so you can write stories about it" press conference is one that the Cooler wishes we could have been at.
And Huck isn't afraid to have Walker, Texas Ranger take some pot shots at Mitten.
Be back with a final line change, and more later.
P.S. If you are a staffer, get off the blog and onto the telephone. Well unless you are a Huckabee staffer. Then kill sometime here.
Sunday, December 30, 2007
But we KNOW that some reporter types are going to be inappropriately drunk. So, we are respectfully requesting you email any funny Raucus before the Caucus stories to firstname.lastname@example.org. If your story is funny enough, we'll post it Tuesday morning. Anonymity guaranteed.
So don't get too hammered Ambers/Sidoti/Martin/Nagourney/Balz/Cameron because the Cooler will have its eyes on you. :)
Happy New Years everybody...
Poll #1- The one that matters. The Des Moines Register is currently in the field according to multiple sources. We will be hearing from them shortly. The results of this poll will to a large degree effect the expectations game going into caucus night.
Poll #2- The one that doesn't matter. Srsly, you might as well just poll the Machine Shed. But here it is anyway. Zogby has Huck with a 1 point lead over Mitten and McCain in 3rd.
Poll #3- MSNBC shows Romney leading by 4 over Huck, with Fred in 3rd... And Rudy a DISTANT 5th. Trendlines show Huckabee down 8 points from 3 weeks ago.
Poll #4- Does the date on this poll say 2007 or 2006? McCain leads the Rasmussen national poll for the first time in a LONG time.
Poll #5- A Lee Newspaper poll shows Huck with a 7 point edge over Mitt with Fred in 3rd.
Huck and Romney are both up a couple ticks from 3 weeks ago.
Poll #6- (Another POS polling firm, these guys were miserably off in 06). But for what its worth, KCCI has Huckabee with a 7 point lead as well over Mitt. Trendlines here also show Huck and Mitt up a few ticks.
Poll #7- This isn't a public poll after-all. More of a "buzz." The Cooler has heard about internal polling data from 2 camps that both show Huckabee with a very narrow lead, but higher intensity among supporters.
And if you think our race is crazy, nobody has got a freaking clue what's going to happen on the Democrat side.
Happy New Year everybody. The Cooler is making a one night jaunt to Hotlanta, so we'll be blogging live south of the Mason-Dixon line...
Friday, December 28, 2007
Chingy Would Be Proud
Politico picks up on Cooler story
Ambers is on it
Prominent Awshucksabee supporters are emailing pastors in IA to encourage them to GOTV from the pulpit this Sunday. (Jefferson would be thrilled)
Awshucksabee thinks Pakistan is west of Afghanistan. It's not. But who cares right? After all he did stay at a Holiday Inn Express last night.
Under a week until game day. To the big board!
1. Mike Huckabee- Up from 2-1 to 3-2. He's weathered the negative ad storm, the El Rushbo storm, the Bob Novak storm, the snarky blogger storm and he still maintains a lead. He's your favorite, no doubt about it.
2. Mitt Romney- Static at 3-1. Getting blasted for a week straight on WHO didn't help. But he's covered the airwaves, he's preparing his boffo political organization for turnoutpalooza. A surprise victory might just propel him to a win in New Hampshire and the nomination.
3. (tie) Fred Thompson- Up to 10-1. Big King endorsement, getting good press traveling the state, 3rd Place is up for grabs.
3. (tie) John McCain- Up to 10-1 He seems to be the guy with the mo. But the New Hampshire centric McCain operation (read: Dennehycentric) has up until this week left the guys in Iowa without much to work with from a resource persepective. Can they tie their shoestring organization together for a 3rd place "victory?"
3. (tie) Rudy Giuliani- Down to 10-1 What happened to the once national frontrunner? He still has some GOP heavies working the groundgame in the state, but he seems to have all but abandoned IA/NH/SC in a bewildering strategy.
6. Ron Paul- Up to 25-1. You can't deny the poll numbers. Would anyone be surprised if Paul beat out one of the three people listed above? Didn't think so.
7. Duncan Hunter- Up to 98-1 on the strength of his smart, funny, and attractive statewide co-chair.
Update- For nostalgia's sake, check out the Cooler line part 1 and 2 from August, 2006. Who's that guy in 3rd place?
Thursday, December 27, 2007
Back with a line-change tomorrow.
In the meantime, check out The Real Sporer's review of the McCain event today, Barack's amazing speechifying, and JMart's piece on Mittens TV monsoon in the Hawkeye.
Here in the final days, they've each realized that a third-place finish would give them a little boost into New Hampshire and the subsequent contests - and winnow out the fourth-, fifth- and sixth-place winners.In other words, there is a standby seat on the Republican plane. Welcome back, boys. We know you have many choices for your air travel. Thank you for flying Iowa.
Wednesday, December 26, 2007
John McCain for President
The Cooler Line
Mike Huckabee 10-9
Mitt Romney 3-1
Fred Thompson 9-1
John McCain 9-1
Rudy Giuliani 12-1
Ron Paul 12-1
Duncan Hunter 98-1
The Cooler line is an exclusive creation of Caucus Cooler and will be updated as the political environment changes.
It is an unscientific assessment of the Iowa Caucus (not the Presidential race as a whole) from an insiders view at the given time. The line IS NOW mathematically accurate but is NOT intended for gambling purposes. Information may only be reproduced with credit to the Caucus Cooler.