Friday, January 05, 2007
The Big Dogs
- McCain took a shot at John Edwards on Don Imus' show yesterday. He responded to Edwards' recent labeling of the troop surge in Iraq as the "McCain Doctrine."
"I don't know if it is a doctrine or not, but it is a principle. . . I'm committing to accomplishing the mission. Maybe some others did not understand that when they voted to support the war," said McCain... Touche. H/T The Note
- No longer thinking that it's "government by gimmickry" as his staff indicated in 2002, Gov. Romney signs Grover Norquists "no new taxes pledge." this time around.
- And Dan Senor, advisor to Gov. Romney said that 10-15K troops may not be enough to stabalize in todays WSJ (password protected). And suggests more not less.
In light of the deteriorating situation in Iraq -- and the president's anemic poll ratings -- this may be his last opportunity to shift his Iraq policy for good. This means erring on the side of more troops, not fewer -- even if it is politically painful in the short run. If the president decides to add more troops, he will not score points at home for deciding on a smaller increase. Any size surge will be controversial. So he should go for a number that maximizes chances for success.
Gov. Romney has stayed out of the fray on the troops debate. If this is the tack he ends up taking that will bring a very interesting dynamic to this race.
Back with the line change shortly.
Thursday, January 04, 2007
We were right
Mark Ambinder reporting that Maria Comella has in fact joined on with Rudy Giuliani's campaign. Comella most recently served as Jim Nussle's communications director/spokesperson and worked for President Bush in New Hampshire. She has also worked for Governor Pataki in the past.
Comella according to the report will work as a regional communications director.
Additionally we've heard from 2 separate sources in the past day that Andrew Dorr has not officially joined Team Giuliani (so we were 1 for 2). But the door (get it? get it?) isn't closed to that possibility. Comella's presence can only make it more likely that Dorr will end up with America's Mayor.
We ended up posting more than we thought today so we're saving the line change for either this evening or tomorrow morning, so check back.
Another Pick-up for Brownback
Lehman said that, "for those who care about protecting the unborn and supporting the right to life, Senator Brownback is the clear choice."
The Kansan (we like that word for some reason) Senator is on the move.
H/T Register Caucus Blog
- Vanity Fair does a profile on John McCain that includes his trip to Iowa in the fall and some relevant Iowa conservatives. The New Republic did a feature on Mitt and Mormonism but we don't have a password, so if anyone has the text of the article- send it over.
- Mitt has an exploratory committee website up. And his lawyer will be GOP lawmaker extraordanaire Ben Ginsberg.
- Tommy Thompson will be in Iowa at least once a week and he's going to "develop a field and grass-roots organization like you've never seen." We'll believe it when we see it.
- The new Hotline 08 ranking are out. We'd be remiss if we didn't note that Chuck Todd agrees with our assessment that Huckabee's falling, not Krusty's assessment that he's do for a comeback ;)
Back with more later this afternoon...
Wednesday, January 03, 2007
Kennedy's decision to go with Romney is not surprising, given his close relationship with Chief Iowa Romney Advising Aficionado Extraordinaire David Kochel as well as with Romney Chair Doug Gross. Nonetheless, it is a great pick-up. Kennedy is well-respected in the Republican community and will bring useful contacts to Romney's team...
The other news isn't so much news as something we dreamed up while drinking our Amici and eating our Cheerios at Cooler HQ. This article in the Washington Post (scroll down) mentions that Mitt Romney hired former Bill Frist staffer (see the symmetry here) Carolyn Weyforth to be the Dep. Communications Director. This is a post that the Hotline had said former Nussle Communications Director Maria Comella was a likely candidate for. Given that she did not take that job, and that her former boss George Pataki's campaign is sinking fast, maybe just maybe she will be joining her former Nussle colleague Andrew Dorr in Camp Giuliani.
Again, we have no facts to base this on. This is truly in the realm of rumor/innuendo, but we thought it was a fun enough idea to put up on the blog. If the Giuliani team is really going to be announcing Iowa staff this month as they say they are, there's got to be someone on the list. So the Cooler's here to connect the dots for you!
- Sunny Mindel is convinced that the Giuliani campaign losing their 140 page document was a DIRTY TRICK! For some reason when we were reading this article we were reminded of Chet Culver's SECRET PLAN to bring back touchplay.
- John Weaver thinks it's funny. Didn't Rudy consult for a security company?
- Mitt Romney got his wish. The MA Legislature has pushed through the Marriage Amendment. If it gets through a couple more hurdles it will be on the ballot in MA in 2008. Mitt also filed his paperwork to start his exploratory committee today.
- And The Note notes that Tommy Thompson is in Des Moines today for private meetings and a few interviews. It seems that Steve Grubbs and co are laying the groundwork for getting an Iowa staff in place.
all for now...
Tuesday, January 02, 2007
- Upon the request of a couple emailers we've made some basic notations on the links to help you determine what the sites are if you have never been there. (D) means that it's a dem blog. And for blogs with authors who have a preference in Presidential candidates, we've put the candidate's initials behind the link. Let us know if there's anything you'd like to see changed/updated/added on the links.
- Also, Krusty made reference to our recent criticism of Huckabee this morning. The thing is, we've had high hopes for Huckleberry in the Cooler. He was in the top 4 of Presidential contenders for a while on the "Cooler Line" and has never dropped out of the top 5. The thing is, while Huckabee has been deafeningly silent over the past few months other candidates, Sam Brownback and Jim Gilmore, are taking the juice out of his "kredible social konservative kandidate." Not to mention that Huckabee isn't exactly a flawless right-winger himself (taxes, immigration). So that's why we've been poo-pooing his campaign of late. He certainly has plenty of time to turn it around.
The plan sets as a goal between $100-125 million raised in 2007 but some of the key components won't be on board. 3 of the top donors Rudy had targeted are supporting McCain, 1 is supporting Romney, another has taken the role of chief fundraiser for the WTC foundation.
The most interesting section though lists in bulleted form the personal/political challenges Rudy will face. At the end it says. "Are these problems insurmountable?" "Has anyone reviewed with Rudy?"
Monday, January 01, 2007
Opening the Dorr to a Rudy caucus campaign
But before we get to that we'd like to give kudos to Coach Ferentz and the Iowa Hawkeyes. The Hawks had no business playing that well against a Texas team that is more athletic at basically every position. Everything about the game was enjoyable- except the final tally...
But onto the gossip you all have been itching for.
The word around the Cooler is that Mitt Romney's Commonwealth PAC has secured the services of a couple Iowa legacies. Jill Latham, daughter to Rep. Tom Latham, will oversee the field staff. Jill worked on BC04 in Wisconsin and went on to be the Wisky GOP Political Director. Sources close to Rep. Latham have told the Cooler that he has no intention of endorsing a candidate before the Caucus. (to the best of our knowledge he has not done so in the past- but please correct us on that if we are mistaken). Keep in mind that Rep. Latham's former campaign manager, Jenn Crall is playing a similar role with Team McCain.
Team Romney has also looked into adding Marcus Branstad, son of Gov. Terry Branstad and formerly with Dr. Frists VOLPAC, to work in the field.
But the more interesting (and less confirmed) news is as follows. Andrew Dorr, political director for Jim Nussle's failed Gubernatorial campaign, has apparently been tapped to lead Rudy Giuliani's Iowa efforts. Andrew's father, Tom Dorr is currently serving as President Bush's undersecretary for rural development and his sister Allison works for House GOP Leader Christopher Rants (who's with Romney). Andrew has played a variety of different roles in political campaigns- he worked in Coalitions on President Bush's campaign and also worked for Sen. John Thune. The Dorr hiring is as of yet unconfirmed.
The Cooler has been saying for months that Rudy would play in Iowa, those that think he's going to skip it- we believe are mistaken. Giuliani has said he would announce an Iowa staff after the New Year, if Dorr is going to be running the ship, that would make for a good start.
We are seriously considering closing down comments for this post. Please be on your best behaviour. There has been an over-abundance of trash talk about some of these folks in the blogosphere. None of them are public figures, and none of them deserved to be ridiculed anonymously. We will have a very tight leash on these comments.. You have been warned :)
EDIT: Rep. Latham did endorse Bush 43 in the 99 caucus campaign...
The Cooler Line
Mike Huckabee 10-9
Mitt Romney 3-1
Fred Thompson 9-1
John McCain 9-1
Rudy Giuliani 12-1
Ron Paul 12-1
Duncan Hunter 98-1
The Cooler line is an exclusive creation of Caucus Cooler and will be updated as the political environment changes.
It is an unscientific assessment of the Iowa Caucus (not the Presidential race as a whole) from an insiders view at the given time. The line IS NOW mathematically accurate but is NOT intended for gambling purposes. Information may only be reproduced with credit to the Caucus Cooler.