Monday, September 25, 2006

Good News for McCain and Rudy: Romney, Hillary, Frist not so much

But its early.

The Des Moines Register has been talking about their Iowa Poll for over a week and finally they get to the Presidential stuff. Here are some of the more notable results.

  • In a head to head matchup McCain and Giuliani beat Vilsack, Horseface, Hillary, and Edwards. The numbers are basically the same except for in the Edwards matchup where Giuliani has a wider margin.
  • Frist and Romney only beat Hillary, which is not encouraging at all for Mrs. Clinton. Romney and Frist have to be discouraged though by trailing Horseface Kerry.

  • The fav/unfavs also tell an interesting story. Giuliani is 71/18 and McCain is 59/24, both really strong margins (keeping in mind that they both do well amongst D's and I's that likely won't participate in a caucus). Pataki does the next best at 35/17
  • Both Frist and Romney have higher Unfavs than Favs. Only Hillary has that problem on the D side.
  • Huckabee is barely known by anyone, which goes to show how much traction you really get just by showing up in Iowa. He's been here a bunch and 8 of 10 people still don't know who he is.
  • Edwards and Vilsack lead the popularity contest on the D side.

    That's it. That's the list.


Anonymous Anonymous said...

Those unfav numbers for Romney are not a good sign at all.

10:17 AM  
Blogger Cancer Man said...

Whatever 10:17.

Mitt has virtually no unfavorable rating and you know that. Obviously you are a PAC staffer.

Those who know Romney have a favorable view of him. Compare that to the well known likes of McCain, Pataki and Guiliani who are loathed by conservatives. and this nomination will be chosen by the GOP, NOT by D's or I's in the GOP primary.

This is a name ID poll. And Mitt still beats Hillary, so much for the electability advantage for McCain.

11:29 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Romney was +15/-16 His unfavorables are almost as high as Giulianis with 70% of the people not knowing who he is. That is not good cancer man.

12:25 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Romney and Hillary were the only ones with higher unfavs than favs.

It must feel a lot like his home state here in Iowa...

1:43 PM  
Blogger murphy said...

Any surprise that McCain and Giuliani are the big winners in a poll open to dems and indys?

This poll is not an accurate read for Romney, Huckabee, Frist, Brownback, etc...for them it is only a poll on name recognition.

5:49 PM  
Blogger Jeff Fuller said...

Agree Murphy.

Also, in a poll including R, D, and I participants (presumably about 30% or so for each group) having high name recognition and single digit "very unfavorable" rating ought to give people pause. McCain only gets 5% and Giuliani 6% for the "very unfavorable" section.

It just goes to show that everyone realizes that McCain and Giuliani are moderate-centrists and not conservatives by any stretch of the imagination--arguably, not really even true republicans (reserving the right to go against the party whenever they see an opening).

The well known party-line Republicans in the poll all had much higher very unfavorable ratings (Rice, Bush, Frist). Romney would have if more people knew him and that he had vetoed Embryonic Stem cell research, is a vocal opponent of gay marriage, and sides with Bush strongly on the GWOT. He's a guy that the liberal left will not be able to stomach . . . and I find that comforting.

10:06 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Jeff, you forgot to mention that Romney is Pro-choice, or I mean was pro-choice, or wait I mean he now chooses not to be pro-choice, or whatever his position on life is...

10:03 AM  

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