Friday, January 26, 2007


Ok Coolerites, we’ve got a couple of polls out for your perusal. First, Krusty posted on the strategic vision Iowa poll that shows Rudy in the lead followed byMcCain, Newt and Romney. Time came out with something much more interesting. They surveyed Republicans nationwide and found John McCain ahead of Rudy within the margin of error. That’s not what’s newsworthy though. They did a separate survey that only included the Big 3. The numbers there?

McCain 43
Rudy 40
Romney 8
Undecided 8

What this means is that with only 3 options, the GOP “protest vote” is only16-17 points. Far less than many wingers would have you believe. This is afascinating result that should embolden team Rudy more than anything. Special Hat Tip to Race42008 for bringing this to our attention.

We’ll be back later in the day for a review of Romney’s events in Eastern Iowatoday (as long as somebody gets out a story before we head to the bar). And we’ll have a line change over the weekend.


Anonymous Anonymous said...

In that poll 83% of Republicans are saying that they find McCain or Giuliani to be acceptable. That's certainly not the conventional wisdom that the Krusty commenters would have you believe.

10:29 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Can you say "name recognition"?
Let's see how these polls look come December after people have some time to learn about all of the candidates.

1:42 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

So your saying these people don't know about Rudy and McCain yet 142. I'm sure they are pretty familiar with their positions at this stage.

1:47 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

I agree that the "Big 3" is really just the Big 2. Who gets to decide Romney is viable before he's ever broken ten percent in single poll? That poll would have been roughly the same with anyone's name in the third slot. McCain - 43, Rudy - 40, John Cox - 8??? If he was the only alternative... probably. All this poll proves to me is how weak Mitt Romney really is.

4:52 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

147: I think 142 was saying that everyone does know Rudy and McCain's positions... and maybe they do find them acceptable. I even find them "acceptable," but I like Brownback, Huckabee, Gilmore, etc. much better. As more people learn those names, some (not many, but some) will decide that "acceptable" isn't quite enough for them. They are only that far ahead now because they are the only names people even recognize.

4:55 PM  
Blogger murphy said...


Romney is part of the Big 3 because of other tangible and intangible factors. Fundraising capability, political platform, record of accomplishment, level of organization & endorsements, "wow factor", etc.

Discounting all of these in favor of public polls is puting your faith in an electorate which (largely) at this point in the 2008 campaign does not know who is running or what their platforms are. I'm not saying polls don't matter, but they are a fickle measurement.

6:08 PM  
Blogger Charlie said...

Did you catch that Chuck Hagel got 7% in the Strategic Vision poll? He was only 1% behind Romney and 5% ahead of the next person. When is Hagel going to get some Cooler love on the line?

11:44 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

He won't because he's not running.

7:38 PM  

Post a Comment

<< Home

  • Caucus Coolerisms
  • The Cooler Line

    Mike Huckabee 10-9
    Mitt Romney 3-1
    Fred Thompson 9-1
    John McCain 9-1
    Rudy Giuliani 12-1
    Ron Paul 12-1
    Duncan Hunter 98-1
    The Cooler line is an exclusive creation of Caucus Cooler and will be updated as the political environment changes.
    It is an unscientific assessment of the Iowa Caucus (not the Presidential race as a whole) from an insiders view at the given time. The line IS NOW mathematically accurate but is NOT intended for gambling purposes. Information may only be reproduced with credit to the Caucus Cooler.