Welcome BACK to the premiere Iowa Caucus Blog. You go to the water cooler to catch up on office gossip and now you can go to the Caucus Cooler to catch up on Presidential gossip. Pull up a chair, grab your dixie cup and bottoms up.
posted by Caucus Cooler at 10/13/2006
The Cooler Line
Mike Huckabee 10-9
Mitt Romney 3-1
Fred Thompson 9-1
John McCain 9-1
Rudy Giuliani 12-1
Ron Paul 12-1
Duncan Hunter 98-1
The Cooler line is an exclusive creation of Caucus Cooler and will be updated as the political environment changes.
It is an unscientific assessment of the Iowa Caucus (not the Presidential race as a whole) from an insiders view at the given time. The line IS NOW mathematically accurate but is NOT intended for gambling purposes. Information may only be reproduced with credit to the Caucus Cooler.
18 Comments:
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Wait until voters see that he has flipped on Guns, Abortion, and Gay Marriage.
Mitt has no chance - not even as the alternative to McCain.
Pro-life isn't the number one issue this time out guys. That single issue voting mentality isn't going to work this time. This time, we need the best guy on national security, not the one that is the most PURE on abortion.
It just so happens that McCain is the best on national security and has a 100% pro-life voting record.
Romney has no national security credentials, and is a fli-flopper on the litmus test issues.
Look for Iowa to come down to Brownback v McCain.
I certainly couldn't consider it whenever my buddy told me however I stand here corrected. That domain truly is as good as he exacted. - bonsai trees
Funny love-fest of comment from McCain staffers above (hence the anonymous titles and profile-less "Whining in '08").
The Globe is a liberal paper and have consitantly given Romney a hard time for just about everything. All the politicians are "out and about" this time. The Globe surely didn't give Gov. Dukakis a hard time when he ran for POTUS while still a sitting Gov. right up through the entire campaign. Mitt takes off and "he's abandoning his duties". They didn't give Kerry a hard time either. Just the good old double standard that conservatives get.
Iowa will be McCain vs. Brownback? Funny stuff. You forget about the impotence of Senators in presidential races. Brownback is a non-starter. McCain has no love from the party faithful (which is all that matters for a closed caucus like ours). That he bypassed Iowa in 2000 and was an outspoken Ethanol opponent does not bode well for him either here.
http://www.gopbloggers.org/octoberpollresults.php
Over nearly 15,000 votes and Romney's the leader for most net + votes. In a three way race between between Romney, Giuliani, and McCain its Giuliani 46.5%, Romney 43.1% and McCain 6.9%.
Cooler: Why aren't you doing something on the fed investigation of Romney?
http://news.bostonherald.com/localRegional/view.bg?articleid=162187
Probably because there's nothing there, despite the Boston media's best efforts.
Jeff- we didn't think this was a bad article by any means, it was interesting to see what kind of courting mitt is doing...
CC,
My comment was referring to the comment stream before mine, especially the winin08 comment that "Mittless has given up his day job".
Also, the Globe ran this companion piece with that article http://www.boston.com/news/local/massachusetts/articles/2006/10/13/recap_of_governors_public_events_during_the_past_month/
And the Globe editorialists and Mass Democrats have been consistantly giving Romney a hard time for several months for his extensive time out of state. Maybe that's why I feel the need to defend Romney on this.
P.S. Winin08 . . . are you going to be this down on Romney when Huck is his VP choice or when Romney's running against Hillary?
Couldn't agree more that The Globe isn't always on Mitt's side Jeff. Just thought you were referring to this article, our mistake.
Uh-oh. Funny thing about those "tar babies." They ARE sticky.
Romney under federal investigation over report showing his administration failed to fulfill its responsibiliies on The Big Dig, leading to collapse deaths.
http://news.bostonherald.com/localRegional/view.bg?articleid=162187
Anon 11:18
Romney's not "under federal investigation" . . . they are "probing the scathing allegations" made by the liberal Democrat Inspector General of Mass and will find them to be unfounded and biased.
The Big Dig will not be an issue that GOP opponents or the Dems will be able to stick on Romney. If anything, Romney's the best thing that ever happened to the Big Dig as some of my Democratic friends in Mass have told me.
Just the media in bed with the Dems on this one . . . a non-starter.
Yes Romney is indeed under federal investigation for supposedly lying about safety checks at the Big Dig.
winin08, you might want to save your strength for the smackdown the Club for Growth's going to put on Huckabee the day he declares.
Yeah! The Club for Growth knows Huckabee thinks it is wrong for companies to price gouge for water and plywood after natural disasters! And he even wants to keep the Feds from cutting nursing home reimbursements just because he thinks it is wrong to toss old ladies and crippled people out on the streets!
Huckabee better bow down at the alter of The Club for Growth or he has no chance at all!
Hey, did ya'll know who the #1 contributor to The Club for Growth is? It's a dude named Jackson T. Stephens, a billionaire from Arkansas who backed Bill Clinton. Guess what? Seems Huckabee got cross-wise with Mr. Stephens back in 2002 when Mr. Stephens' boy thought he might like to be Governor -- but Huckabee didnt just get out of the way and let him have the Republican nomination.
So, The Club for Growth is really nothing more than a tool Mr. Stephens is using to wage a personal vendetta. Kinda sad when a once-legitimate organization lets itself go bad just to keep a money-man happy.
http://www.motherjones.com/news/special_reports/2004/04/stephens.html
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