This will be the Cooler's last post before the Christmas holiday- barring some shocking breaking news. Thank you so much for making us part of your day over the past 5 months. We look forward to an exciting caucus campaign here at the Cooler. On to the line changes.
Given Senator McCain's lead in the poll and the strides their camp has made organizationally, at this stage it makes sense to move him into a tie with Romney. Also, we head into the New Year with only McCain and Romney with real Iowa organizations. They are clearly the class of the field at this point. Due to the separation they've created, we are moving Senator McCain from 4-1 to 3-1 and Governor Romney from 7-2 to 3-1. Merry Christmas guys.
Rudy also did well in the KCCI poll, but that doesn't affect his standing because he is artificially high on the Cooler Line based on his poll numbers. If they come through on their promise and show us an Iowa organization after the New Year, that will be much more telling. Rudy stays at 6-1.
Unrelated to the poll, we have some movement from Huckabee, Brownback, and Gilmore.
Mike Huckabee somehow managed to get out of 2006 WITHOUT DOING A SINGLE THING to advance his candidacy in Iowa. His complete disappearing act has been astonishing.
In the meantime two other candidates with the same constituency have been active. Governor Gilmore has been seen campaigning in Iowa 3 times in the past 2 months. He has a cadre of old-line Iowa conservatives that seem to be coalescing around his candidacy and he has the beginnings of a staff.
Senator Brownback has lined up two influential Des Moines activists in Chuck Hurley and Kevin McLaughlin, he has taken clear strides towards a run, and he's courting the right people. (pun intended).
So with that, the Cooler is moving Mike Huckabee from 14-1 to 23-1, Sam Brownback from 24-1 to 15-1, and Jim Gilmore from 99-1 to 39-1 (you can stop emailing us now Gilmore staffers, we're believers).
That's all for now. We hope you and your families have a merry, blessed, and safe Christmas Coolerites. We'll see you next week.