Thursday, November 09, 2006

POTUS Winners and Losers

Election night 2006 was ugly for Republicans up and down the ballot, but it had some definite implications for the 2008 Presidential wannabees. Let's take a look at some winners and losers.

Winners:

Rudy Giuliani- With an ugly environment, Rudy looks like a real uniter that can take the Party and the Country out of this funk and into the future. He had an aggressive campaigning session, picking up chits around the country. And spent election eve in Iowa which certainly will be remembered by those that attended. (Those events were spectacular according to all sources). Rudy also dipped his toe in the staffer waters while in town courting some high powered Iowans.

John McCain- Like Giuliani, McCain seems like the kind of candidate that can bridge the gap with the independents that have become disenfranchised from the GOP. McCain also campaigned heavily, picking up chits. And his main allies staved off defeat... i.e. Pawlenty, Crist, and Heather Wilson (maybe). McCain also got his wish with the resignation of Rumsfeld and got some good press over that.

One downside for McCain, the GOP losing the Senate means no Chairmanship of the "powerful" Armed Services Committee.

Losers:

George Felix Allen- Exit, stage left.


Mitt Romney- In a year where the GOP lost anything, Mitt certainly is not to blame for the 6 Governorships the GOP lost and the "0" pickups. But it certainly didn't help him either. He also was unable to help his chosen successor Kerry Healy into the Governor's Mansion. On the other hand, Romney will be able to sell himself as a Washington "Outsider" which will benefit him given this environment.

Mike Huckabee- If your successor can't even muster a competitive race in a Red state, that's not a very good legacy to leave.

Neutral

George Pataki- While he also was unable to get his successor elected, Pataki put a lot of effort into the Iowa GOTV program and that will be remembered by activists in Des Moines.


Note that our own Governor would be considered a winner on the Dem side, as he was able to get his chosen successor in office, in a landslide. And he was very active for Culver in the last two weeks of the campaign.

Unfortunately we won't be able to send the intern to Mt. Pleasant for the announcement today. More on Vilsack later.

We apologize for the light coverage over the past week. Expect a reinvigorated Cooler Staff on Monday.

24 Comments:

Anonymous Anonymous said...

There is still a huge vaccum in the potus race. Everyone running just looks like a canned candidate.

11:55 AM  
Blogger murphy said...

If anything is going to be accomplished in Congress over the next two years, it will be compromise compromise compromise.

This is going to help Senator McCain in the eyes of the media, democrats, and independents, as he fashions himself as the uniter of a bipartisan Senate.

It's going to really hurt him with conservative Republicans who are looking for a Reagan-like candidate to unite people around conservative principles. McCain will only have a track record of uniting people around himself.

12:06 PM  
Blogger Pondering American said...

I got to think that Huckabee is a winner despite Arkansas Gov race.

I think he gets a nice part of the vote that were considering Allen. Also what about the Frist vote. I think he is a big loser for the night

12:18 PM  
Blogger Caucus Cooler said...

In winners and losers we are discounting the "who benefits from Allens demise" angle, because in reality his Presidential run ended months ago and we've said ad nauseum that Romney and to a lesser extent Huckabee benefited from that..

So these winners and losers are based on other factors.

1:36 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Frist at least got his hand picked Republican successor -- Bob Corker -- elected. Same can't be claimed by Romney, Huckabee or Pataki. It's hard for anyone to claim bragging rights after Tuesday's debacle. So let's "suck it up and move on."

2:13 PM  
Blogger murphy said...

...as he fashions himself as the uniter of a bipartisan Senate

Case in point:

http://www.republicanmainstreet.org/2006%20Dinner%20Photo%20Gallery/RMSP%20Chafee%20Dinner%202006/imageset.html

That's right. John McCain accepting the Chaffee award.

3:27 PM  
Anonymous Stephen said...

If the message of the election the CC got was "turn left" and go for Liberal Rudy and John "always votes with Kennedy" McCain, then you missed the message.

Neither of these folks are outsiders, and both really are the "canned candidates" anon 11:55 was talking about.

I hate to say it, but John Cox is where people will be (and are) turning. Laugh if you will, cynical insiders, but those are the facts.

3:41 PM  
Anonymous are you kidding me? said...

Stephen-

Give me a break. I know that you could make the argument that Howard Dean was an outsider and no one said he had a shot, but Cox does not even reach Dean Status.

NEVER GONNA HAPPEN!

4:11 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Hahaha...John Cox...Hahaha

4:51 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Huckabee was something like the 3rd Republican elected statewide in Arkansas since reconstruction. The fact that Hutchinson didn't win is no slight on Huckabee. Republicans simply don't get elected down there.

Another thing is the Dems are awfully conservative. Check out Beebe, the winner, and see what he stands for. He would be a Republican up here, I think.

5:09 PM  
Anonymous Stephen said...

To: Are you kidding me? No. I'm not. I thank God that Cox doesn't reach "Dean Status" in many senses of the phrase.

6:31 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

You Cox morons (all five of you) are starting to wear thin. Stop spamming every blog you can find with this BS because that's what it is: spam.

Here's a wake-up call: Cox couldn't even win a County Clerk race because he is that pathetic.

8:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Arkansas is not a red state. It is 85% blue, and Huckabee was able to swing votes when he ran. the guy trying to follow Huckabee on the ticket was a weal candidate who ran one of the worst campaigns in the country. Not to mention from what I hear Huckabee tried to give advice to the inexperienced people running Asa's campaign but they wouldn't listen until they were 20 points behind in the polls in late Oct.
Huckabee is truly someone who has proven that he can bring two sides together and he is a proven leader. From the polls I have seen, Huckabee would have won again in AR if there weren't term limits. Look at his record, he is our guy. Get behind him and lets make sure our country moves forward. HUCKABEE in 2008. I love it.

8:41 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Anon 8:00

While you are performing oral sex on the flavor of the month, Cox is building a grassroots organization. He is raising issues that matter and giving real solutions to problems. It is true he may not win, but whoever is the candidates are in 08 for whatever races, we need our grassroots. Folks like you that flame on people who are actually doing things are the problem, not John Cox supporters

9:23 PM  
Blogger Caucus Cooler said...

"Arkansas is not a red state"

Please consult the 2000 and 2004 electoral maps and get back to us..

We know you have two D senators but nevertheless, Asa got his ass beat, in a state W carried handily..

12:07 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Anon 9:23

No, you are the problem. Everyone is getting sick of reading John Cox BS everytime they are trying to have an actual conversation about legitimate candidates. Why not run a baked potato? It has about the same odds as Cox.

12:38 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Did you consult the mainstream media this morning so they can tell you who's "legitimate" in the 2008 race? Grow a spine.

7:00 AM  
Blogger joel said...

Cooler, I normally agree with you guys, but this time you're wrong. To say that Arkansas is a Red state is simply incorrect. I don't care if Bush carried it in 2000 and 2004.

AR Senate: 26 Dems, 7 Republicans (78% D)
AR House: 71 Dems, 27 Republicans (72% D)
(these numbers may be off by 1 here or there--I had to look them up)

Statewides:
AG: Dem
Auditor: Dem
Land Commissioner: Dem
SOS: Dem
Treasurer: Dem
Gov: Rep (Huckabee)
Lt. Gov: Rep

You see, Arkansas Democrats are incredibly conservative (in the grand scheme of things). So when an out-of-stater comes in (like POTUS), they vote Republican. When it's an in-state running against an in-state, they are overwhelmingly Democrat. I don't think there was much that Huckabee could have done.

The fact that HE was even elected to statewide office says more than what he could/couldn't do with Asa Huchinson.

9:19 AM  
Anonymous Glen R. Stine said...

Excuse me folks. My name is Glen Stine and I'm the only declared republican candidate for president.

Now I'd like to share with you a fresh copy of the Perry Chief from 1995 regarding my candidacy. Careful now, those copies are from my inkjet at home and may not be dry yet.

Now I've been trying to talk to Dr. Mark Klein and even Rep. Mike Pence about teaming up with me to take the Whitehouse in 2008. I'm afraid I don't know much about John Cox. I've never seen him featured in the Perry Chief.

Where might I get some information so that I may contact him?

Glen R. Stine for Presidnet 2008
www.glenrstineforprezin1996or2000or2004or2008.com

9:57 AM  
Blogger Caucus Cooler said...

Joel-

You make a good point. Still you'd have to admit that where Vilsack gave his Presidential Ambitions a boost by carrying Culver to a big victory, Huckabee was hurt however slightly by Asa's defeat.

But on the Red State/Blue State thing, we'll concede.

3:33 PM  
Blogger joel said...

Cooler,

I'll admit that it definitely would have helped him (like it might help Vilsack), but I can't see it hurting him. Maybe slightly, as you say, but mostly because most Americans wouldn't understand the typical Arkansas Democrat.

7:23 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

The typical Arkansas Democrat would a Republican in any other state in the nation. Go Huckabee '08!!!

11:09 AM  
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