Tuesday, February 20, 2007

Mitt's good on TV; bad in O.C.

A couple of Romney items for the afternoon crew. His TV ad gets applause from the Cooler staff. Well produced, strong message, he looks presidential. (Still not sure about the word "dithering" but we can overlook it). Chris Cillizza does a good job breaking down the ad and explaining Team Romney's motivation for running it. Here's the video:

Now the bad for Mitt. Last night he spoke at the Five County GOP Dinner in Orange City. Orange City is in Sioux County which has one of the highest percentages of registered R's in the whole country. It is one of the most important counties in a GOP caucus. It was this event that gave President Bush a lot of momentum 8 years ago. Bush turned out an enormous crowd which furthered the conventional wisdom that he was strong with conservatives and his election was inevitable. Romney being named the keynote speaker for this dinner was widely considered to by a coup.

But word from Northwest Iowa is that Romney didn't get the same boost from this event last night. Only about 150 tickets were sold and the attendance was somewhere near 100. For 5 counties that is a low turnout. The excitement and buzz Romney created following successful trips to Eastern Iowa was not duplicated in the Western part of the state it seems. And the news coverage he received included his problems on the issue of abortion and his vote for Paul Tsongas. Turnout is one of those funny animals. Romney had been largely successful with it until last night. The biggest question is whether the lower than expected turnout reflects a lack of interest in Romney in NW Iowa or whether it was just a function of bad timing and Romney's heavy Iowa travel schedule.


Blogger Brent Oleson said...

My boys "Spinal Tap" were jammin out with "Sonny Humbucker" so that would probably explain where everyone was at instead of the fundraiser.

The Dutch love us!

1:51 PM  
Blogger IC said...

I love the Gingrich odds. Outside of The Big Three, I'd definitely wager on him for the longshot. Hagel, too.

2:25 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

I'm putting my money on America's favorite pastor.

3:34 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

I'm putting my money on America's favorite pastor.

3:34 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Joel Osteen isn't running.

4:05 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Clearly, Romney has run aground due to overexposure. How boring is it when he practically lives in Iowa and the caucuses aren't for 11 months?

4:20 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

The ad is a move of desperation by Romney, who is seeing what little interest he ever had melt away to the other candidates. The Mitt-flopper is done. Mark it down.

4:28 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Now who is next?

4:36 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Who is the pastor running to president? That sounds like running John Cox for president another joke! talk about away to lose votes

4:54 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

I think it's a nickname for Huck.

6:40 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Your blog keeps getting better and better! Your older articles are not as good as newer ones you have a lot more creativity and originality now keep it up!

10:28 AM  

Post a Comment

<< Home

  • Caucus Coolerisms
  • The Cooler Line

    Mike Huckabee 10-9
    Mitt Romney 3-1
    Fred Thompson 9-1
    John McCain 9-1
    Rudy Giuliani 12-1
    Ron Paul 12-1
    Duncan Hunter 98-1
    The Cooler line is an exclusive creation of Caucus Cooler and will be updated as the political environment changes.
    It is an unscientific assessment of the Iowa Caucus (not the Presidential race as a whole) from an insiders view at the given time. The line IS NOW mathematically accurate but is NOT intended for gambling purposes. Information may only be reproduced with credit to the Caucus Cooler.