Line Change!
Well, we were taking a look at the line this evening and thought to ourselves, "why is Chuck Hagel 49-1?" Chuck Hagel has no discernable organization, he has not been to Iowa in a long time, his main platform is violent opposition to the President's Iraq policy-which could maybe get him a loyal niche following, but certainly not a plurality. Lately he's made news only for criticizing John Bolton.
For those that don't remember the math that we taught you last month. 49-1 means he has a 2% chance of winning the Caucus. Frankly, at this juncture his chances look vaguely better than Jim Gilmore's.. In other words, zero. So he has now moved to 500-1. Or approximately two-tenths of one percent...
Feel free to chime in if you think this is harsh.
posted by Caucus Cooler at 9/07/2006
8 Comments:
You are right that Chuck Hagel doesn't have the organization set up at this point, not has he been in Iowa much lately.
However, if he decides to run, I expect that those will change quickly. He has strong social conservative views that will play well in Iowa. His considerable foreign policy experience (and is well respected on his views) is more than any of the other prospective candidates at this point. Perhaps the low rank is acceptable for now, but if he decides to run, that may change quickly.
Chuck Hagel is not respected for his foreigh policy experience. He's stuck in Viet Nam syndrome just like John Kerry and all the other 60's generation politicians that are stuck in the 70's.
Its a 2 man race...McCain vs. the "McCain alternative'...which is looking more & more like Mitt Romney. Do Republicans want a 72 year old nominee for president?
Sorry to bore everyone today, but we've got nothing interesting to post. We'll give you something to kick around this evening.
CC
Thanks to the cooler staff and all those who post. Y'all do a good job of reminding me that the state IS worth more than a six pack and a deck of playing cards.
Thanks 5:38. Tell your friends to check us out.
CC
Cooler -
0.2% for Hagel?
That sounds about right...
Cheers,
Rob
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